pm-market-analysis

Use when Codex must analyze one prediction-market PM event for PMKNB: ingest subject/world research and market data, identify exact Polymarket or Kalshi instruments, assess market forces, resolution/oracle risk, liquidity, and platform/counterparty risk, then output a forecast, report, brief, proposal, or no-publish result. Triggers include prediction market, Polymarket, Kalshi, PM event, instrument identity, conditionId, token IDs, event_ticker, market ticker, YES/NO, PMKNB market_analysis, resolution risk, negative risk, or multi-market event analysis.